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eToro Trading Update – November 2019

December 2, 2019 by James Woolley Leave a Comment

A Steady Month – Up 1.83%

I would think most people would be delighted if they could grow their trading account by 1.83% per month, but despite this, I am still left a little disappointed that my eToro account (aptly named SteadyProfits) only grew by this amount in the month of November.

That’s because at times my portfolio was significantly higher than this, and the gains that I had made in previously weeks simply tailed off towards the end of the month as certain shares saw their share prices fall.

Nevertheless, any growth should be welcomed and as a result of this latest gain, my overall trading account is now up 15.79% for the year, as you can see below:

SteadyProfits eToro Performance - November 2019

It is now looking unlikely that I will finish 2019 up 20%, which would have been a fantastic outcome, but you never know. If we get a strong Christmas rally, which we missed out on last year, my portfolio is well-positioned to get close to this magical 20% figure.

Before that, though, I want to give you a run-down of what happened to my portfolio last month, outlining some of the trades that I placed and the dividends that I received.

Trading Performance / Portfolio Update

I started the month off by making a badly timed trade on GVC. This has long been a favourite stock of mine, and after it fell to 848p, I decided to buy some for my portfolio, only to see it fall a lot more, which encouraged me to buy more at 809.2p.

Anyway to cut a long story short, I got scared by the possible threat of increased UK gambling regulations, and sold out for a small loss at around 827.2p. Sometimes you have to take a loss and accept that you made a bad call, and that’s exactly what I did when the share price started to bounce back to a more reasonable level.

I did, however, make three decent trades that made up for this loss. I am a big fan of the FTSE 100 tracker ISF.L because of its high dividend yield of around 4.5% and its long-term growth potential, and traded this on three separate occasions.

First of all I bought at 717.40p at the end of October and sold at 730.1p the following week, and after the FTSE 100 fell back again on two later occasions, I then bought and sold this tracker two more times for gains of over 2% each time.

With regards to my portfolio, I now hold shares in six individual companies, all of which are large-cap FTSE 100 stocks that pay generous dividends and appeared undervalued at the time of purchase, and these are Royal Dutch Shell, BP, HSBC, Aviva, Imperial Brands and International Airlines Group.

IAG has been the best performer this month and is now close to my initial entry price, whilst Imperial Brands is still the weakest performer in my portfolio, although the yield of over 10% somewhat compensates for any running losses.

I recently made a new purchase of Aviva shares, which I am confident of in the long-term and will gladly take the 8% yield that is on offer right now. The other three shares – Shell, BP and HSBC – all traded lower towards the end of November, but once again I am happy to hold these for the long-term and collect the 6%+ annual dividends, payable every three months.

Dividends Received

Considering how low companies such as BP, Shell, HSBC and Imperial Brands have fallen, the value of my portfolio has held up pretty well with an overall gain of 1.83%, and this is because of my trading activity to some extent, but more so because of the dividends that I received last month.

November was actually a bumper month for dividends because BP, Shell, HSBC, Imperial Brands and IAG all went ex-dividend during this month, and because eToro pay their dividends on the ex-dividend date, there were lots of additional funds added to the account ready to be reinvested.

Copiers

Although I need a total of 10 copiers to advance to the next level and start earning a regular payment from eToro, I am actually delighted that I now have four people copying my trades on this social trading platform because this is twice as many as I had at the end of last month.

As always, it is all about results, so I will just keep plugging away and keep trying to make gains, both for myself and my current copiers, and hopefully this will be enough to attract more copiers in the future.

Final Thoughts

The goal of this account is to grow profits slowly and steadily, and so an overall gain of 1.83% is more than satisfactory with all things considered.

There were some good trading profits and plenty of dividend payments to keep the account balance heading in the right balance, and it was only really some significant falls in the two oil giants BP and Shell that prevented the portfolio from making some significant gains in November.

So with just one month left in 2019, let’s hope we get a Christmas rally to finish the year on a high and bank some healthy profits.

Follow Me on eToro

If you would like to follow my journey on eToro, simply open an eToro account and search for SteadyProfits to view my live trading results and to see my latest trades.

Past performance is not an indication of future results. This content is for information and educational purposes only and should not be considered investment or portfolio management advice. 81% of retail investors accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider.

Filed Under: News Tagged With: etoro, steadyprofits

eToro Trading Update – October 2019

November 1, 2019 by James Woolley Leave a Comment

Steady Gains – Up 2.21%

October was turning out to be another excellent month for my eToro trading account (account ID = SteadyProfits) as I was up over 4% at one point, but unfortunately some of my share holdings dropped back towards the end of the month after reporting their latest Q3 figures.

As a result of this, my account only finished 2.21% up for the month of October, which is still fairly good, but obviously not as good as it could have been.

SteadyProfits eToro Trading Performance October 2019

The end of October also brought me to a significant milestone because as you can see from the stats page above, I have now been trading on eToro for 12 months.

I actually picked the worst possible time to start trading and investing in stocks because November and December 2018 were terrible months for the world stock markets, but things have picked up in 2019 and after ending 2018 down 8.74%, my account is up 13.71% so far in 2019, giving me a fairly healthy gain overall.

My aim now is to finish 2019 up more than 15% in total, and I am fairly confident of doing so because I think November and December could be a lot more profitable this year.

Trading Performance / Portfolio Update

In terms of trading, October was quite a busy month. I started off by banking a profit of just over 5% when I sold my Barclays shares, and a few days later I sold my GVC shares that I bought at just under 750p for 820.8p, for a profit of 9.61%.

In addition, I also sold some of my longer-term holds that have finally moved into profit after trading significantly lower in previous months, including Aviva and a portion of my IAG shares.

Finally, I managed to generate an excellent short-term gain by trading GlaxoSmithKline. Having bought at 1631p and 1652.4p a few weeks ago, I closed out both trades when the price moved to 1702.4p just over a week later.

With regards to new trades, I have mainly been buying some of the large-cap giants of the FTSE 100, such as BP, Shell and HSBC, because these have all been pushed down to bargain prices in recent weeks, largely because of weaker Q3 performance, but they all pay a dividend of more than 6% per year and are unlikely to drop much further.

I have also started scaling into the iShares FTSE 100 tracker (ISF), making my first purchase when the FTSE 100 dropped to around 7250, and will add more if it drops back towards the 7000 level.

The only share that continues to disappoint and act as a drag on my portfolio is Imperial Brands, but I’m not going to sell at such a crazy low price, and will simply bank the 10%+ dividend while I wait for it to recover.

Dividends Received

There were no dividend payments this month, but the trading profits more than compensated for this, and the good news is that there are some significant dividends due in November.

BP, Shell, Imperial Brands and IAG are all going ex-dividend this month, and as you may be aware, eToro pay their dividends on these ex-dividend dates instead of the official payment date.

Copiers

In the month of October I had one more person choose to copy all of my trades, which means that I now have a grand total of two copiers on eToro.

This has added an extra level of responsibility, but is one that I am relishing because it is a great feeling to know that my trading is potentially helping other people make money from the markets.

Final Thoughts

Overall it ended up being a slightly disappointing month with my profits tailing off in the last few days of the month, but I’m still fairly happy with my trading performance overall.

I managed to close out some very profitable trades on GVC and GlaxoSmithKline, and bought some excellent stocks at knock-down prices in the form of BP, Shell and HSBC.

Plus to cap it all off, I gained one more copier, and have some juicy dividends to look forward to in November, as well as a potential Christmas rally towards the end of the year, which we didn’t really benefit from last year. So 2019 could turn out to be a very profitable year.

Follow Me on eToro

If you would like to follow my journey on eToro, simply open an eToro account and search for SteadyProfits to view my live trading results and to see my latest trades.

Past performance is not an indication of future results. This content is for information and educational purposes only and should not be considered investment or portfolio management advice. 81% of retail investors accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider.

Filed Under: News Tagged With: etoro, steadyprofits

GBP/USD Struggles To Break Through 1.30 Resistance Level

October 23, 2019 by James Woolley Leave a Comment

Long-Term Depreciation

Any of my readers who live in the UK will know just how much the pound has fallen in value against the dollar in the last few years.

In fact it has fallen sharply against many other currencies as well, as you may well have noticed if you have spent your holidays in another country just recently.

Take the Thai baht, for example. One pound used to get you over 50 baht, but as of right now it won’t even buy you 40 baht.

Recent Price Action

The good news is that the pound has started to recover as hopes were raised that we might finally get a Brexit agreement, and not crash out of the European Union without a deal, as previously feared.

The story seems to change every day, but at the time of writing, it now looks like we won’t be leaving the EU on 31 October and there will either be a delayed leave date to scrutinise the Brexit deal more closely, or a general election to resolve any differences between the main parties and get a clear majority.

As a result of this, the pound has rallied off its lows and having traded just under 1.20 at the start of September and as low as 1.22 at the start of this month, it has now pushed on towards the significant 1.30 level.

I say significant because traders seem to play close attention to the reaction of the price when it reaches these key levels on the charts, and will then make their trading decisions accordingly.

Strong Resistance

At the moment the price of the GBP/USD appears to be struggling to break through this 1.30 level, as you can see from the daily price chart below:

GBPUSD Daily Chart - October 2019

On 17 October it posted a high of 1.2990 before falling back down again to close at 1.2873, and then on the following three trading sessions it posted daily highs of 1.2988, 1.3013 and 1.3001 respectively, but failed to actually close above 1.30 on each occasion.

More significantly, after last night’s parliamentary vote where they approved the Brexit deal but voted to ask for an extension from the EU, the GBP has started to turn downwards once again as the chances of an orderly departure in the coming weeks essentially disappear and uncertainty reigns once again.

Future Price Moves

Looking at the price chart above, you can see that the short-term 20-day exponential moving average has already crossed above the 200-day moving average, and if the price can stay around these levels for the next few weeks, it looks inevitable that the 50 and 100-day EMA will also cross above the 200-day EMA.

Therefore from a purely technical perspective, you would think there is real potential for the price to eventually break above the 1.30 level and start to trade within a new trading range of 1.30 – 1.40 rather than 1.20 – 1.30.

It wouldn’t take much of a catalyst to make this happen either because if we do finally come to an agreement in the coming months, or do actually leave on 31 January 2020, as some people are predicting, the pound has the potential to rise quite sharply, and I would predict that it could even move back towards the 1.50 level at some point in the next year or two.

Filed Under: News Tagged With: brexit, gbpusd

eToro Trading Update – September 2019

October 1, 2019 by James Woolley Leave a Comment

A Very Good Month – Up 6.11%

September turned out to be an excellent month for me because my eToro trading account finished the month up 6.11%, making it the second most profitable month so far since I first opened an account back in November 2018.

It could actually have been a lot better because at one point I was up around 8.5% for the month, but one of the shares in my portfolio issued a profits warning towards the end of the month (more about that later).

I don’t necessarily aim to make huge profits every month. I am quite content to see my account tick along with 1 or 2% gains every month, which is why I chose SteadyProfits as my username, but it’s obviously still nice to see your portfolio grow in value quite substantially in a short space of time.

SteadyProfits eToro Stats - September 2019

Popular Investor

Another reason why September was a really good month from a personal point of view is because I was finally accepted into eToro’s Popular Investor program.

This basically means that I can start to be rewarded with a small monetary payment each month if I continue to be profitable in the future and have many people copying my trades.

Trading Performance / Portfolio Update

With regards to my trading, I didn’t place a great deal of trades in September. However there were some significant transactions.

For example, I made the tough decision to sell all of my holdings in GVC. I kind of regret doing this now because I still feel that these shares will be back above 1000p in the not too distant future, but after buying at an average of around 717p and seeing the price fall to around 500p at one point, I took the decision to take a small profit and hopefully buy back below 700p.

Unfortunately this hasn’t gone to plan because the price is now trading close to 750p, but that’s the risk you take sometimes.

Earlier in the month I did manage to bank a more significant profit of 6.2% when I sold a portion of my IAG shares that I bought for 419.7p at 445.1p.

I still have many IAG shares in my portfolio and these have performed well this month, up to around 480p at the time of writing, and pay very generous dividends, so I’m happy to continue holding while I wait for them to hopefully move into profit.

Finally, as mentioned earlier, my other stock, Imperial Brands, issued a profits warning towards the end of the month. This reduced some of my profits as there was quite a big fall, but it did at least allow me to make a quick in and out trade for around 2%.

It wasn’t actually that bad a warning. Profits are expected to be flat this year, but they are still paying a dividend of more than 10%, so again I’m happy to hold on to my remaining shares.

The one other stock is my portfolio is Aviva. This is also down slightly on my purchase price, but has risen sharply this month and also pays a very generous dividend, so I am happy to continue holding for now.

Dividends Received

Unfortunately I didn’t receive any dividend payments this month. The portfolio was boosted entirely by capital gains and trading profits.

However the good news is that two out of the three shares currently in my portfolio, IAG and Imperial Brands, are both scheduled to go ex-dividend in November.

So the portfolio will be boosted once again in the near future, particularly in the case of Imperial Brands because the two final quarterly payments, this being the first one, are the biggest of the year.

Copiers

In this section of this update I normally state that I still don’t have any active copiers, but I’m pleased to report that I now have my first copier.

It’s been such a long wait but I finally have someone actively copying my trades, and it really is a great feeling knowing that I can potentially help someone else make some money from the markets.

Final Thoughts

Overall, September was a fantastic month, and hopefully it will continue for the rest of the year and beyond.

I currently hold three stocks in my portfolio, Aviva, IAG and Imperial Brands, but I am still 33.89% in cash, so I’m patiently waiting for the markets to fall so I can pick up some bargains.

As I mentioned on my eToro feed, I was eyeing up BP, Shell and GlaxoSmithKline but none of them fell far enough, and I was also hoping that the FTSE would fall to around 7000-7200 so that I could buy the FTSE 100 tracker for the long-term but sadly the markets kept going up.

I can’t really complain though because I can’t really lose at the moment. If the markets continue going up, my current portfolio should grow in value, and if they fall I have enough cash in reserve to pick up some undervalued stocks for the long-term and make some potentially profitable short-term trades.

Follow Me on eToro

If you would like to follow my journey on eToro, simply open an eToro account and search for SteadyProfits to view my live trading results and to see my latest trades.

Past performance is not an indication of future results. This content is for information and educational purposes only and should not be considered investment or portfolio management advice. 81% of retail investors accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider.

Filed Under: News Tagged With: etoro, steadyprofits

Bitcoin Update 27 September 2019 – Breakout Confirmed

September 27, 2019 by James Woolley Leave a Comment

Descending Triangle Breakout

Last week I was discussing the descending triangle that had formed on the price chart of Bitcoin, and highlighted how it was trading in an ever decreasing trading range prior to a possible breakout.

Here is the chart from this previous blog post:

Bitcoin Trading Range in September

Well as expected, the price couldn’t stay in this trading range forever, and it eventually closed below this long-established trading range earlier this week, as you can see below:

Bitcoin Breakout - September 2019

8000 Level Breached

The closing price of the breakout candle was $8693, which is where many people will have opened a short position, and it was no real surprise that the price continued to fall in the following days.

That’s because many traders will have been watching this descending triangle for many months, and will have been waiting to trade any breakout that subsequently occurred.

The price of Bitcoin actually fell below the $8000 level to around $7739 before bouncing back to its current price of around $8050.

So the breakout could have yielded nearly $1000 x the initial stake per point for anyone brave enough to trade this breakout, and even exiting at $8000, which would have been an obvious exit point for many traders, would have generated a profit of $693 x stake per point (minus the spreads).

Disclaimer – Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are highly speculative instruments, and it is possible to lose all of your capital.

Of course this breakout is still very much in its infancy, so there is still every chance that the price could drop even lower than its recent low of $7739, generating even more profits for those traders who decided to trade this breakout.

Sentiment

It is often interesting to look at market sentiment for any given market to see how bullish or how bearish traders are in general, and looking at the Bitcoin market on IG.com, 83% of clients with open positions are expecting the price to rise, and 17% are expecting the price to fall.

On eToro 98% of customers are buying Bitcoin at the time of writing, so these two stats would suggest that people are still very bullish on the long-term prospects of Bitcoin despite this downward breakout.

Final Thoughts

As I mentioned before, I don’t actually trade cryptocurrencies myself because of the risks attached and the relatively large spreads, but it is clear that these markets still conform very well to technical analysis because this was a textbook descending triangle breakout that has already yielded an excellent profit and may still fall even further.

With regards to future price predictions, I said in my last post that $8000 was within reach if there was a downward breakout and this has already been taken out. So I’m not really sure how much further it can fall in the near term.

It may well find a base at this new level and start to bounce back, or it could easily drop below $7000 if we have a few days where it closes below the psychological $8000 level. Either way, it should be interesting to watch.

Filed Under: News Tagged With: bitcoin, breakout

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